Brisnet does not mark Epicenter as a standout. In the only . In Europe, Timeform has a similar rating scale that yields a number, but with a different value. His Beyer Speed Figure of 92 is only 4 points off the second best number. Indy, earned her lone win at 1 1/16 miles and produced Hungry Island and Soaring Empire, both stakes winners around two turns. OddsShark horse racing expert Michael Dempsey will be providing his selections and analysis for both the Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby Day cards at turfnsport.com. Stat to remember: Since the Beyer Speed Figures were introduced in . Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to earn a figure above 100, earning a 102 Beyer in the Louisiana Derby. .tableizer-table th { Grandam (maternal grandmother) Flying Passage, by A.P. Messier's career high of 127 and Taiba's best of 125 top the field. 2022 Kentucky Derby Trail: By the Numbers. [Related: Kentucky Derby 2022: New scenarios after 3 defections]. Click Here to sign up for a free subscription. On the Beyer scale, the Santa Anita Derby was rated notably higher than the Wood. Un Ojo Ethereal Road and Happy Jack have the lowest career-best BSFs. In 1991, The Racing Times, an upstart newspaper founded by Steven Crist, put Beyer Speed Figures into print for the first time. The average winning Beyer Speed Figure in the Kentucky Derby is 109. font-size: 12px; ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. Play today with NYRA Bets! It was one point better than the 110 Beyer Speed Figure Life Is Good earned for winning the $3 million Pegasus World Cup in January to rate as the highest figure at more than a mile this year Charge It earned a 111 for winning the Dwyer Stakes at one mile on July 2. Since 1992, 27 of 30 Kentucky Derby winners have entered the race with a career-best Beyer speed figure of at least 95. Speed figures are normalized numerical representations of final times based on relative track speeds, as it is rare for tracks to produce the exact final . The bottom of the crop is equivalent in both years, with the lowest top-BSF at 83. Pars for Beyer Speed Figures represent the approximate average winning figure for a given class at a given track. Why do we care? . Bet with your head, not over it. Epicenter (+400) ran his own 102 BSF race in the Louisiana Derby (G2). Messier and Taiba recorded a 103, tops on the list. Simplification seems like the most likely horse to show up for the exotics. A bay son of Not This Time, Epicenter has seen his Beyer Speed Figures go up in every race of his career, peaking with a 102 in the Louisiana Derby. Timeform Ratings go a step further in trying to be both accurate and objective. Not a subscriber? When many people see the name of a champion sprinter as a sire, they think his best runners will be fast and precocious. Both runners earned their lofty numbers in the Wood Memorial (G2). Similar to the Beyer and Brisnet scales, Secret Oath is in the thick of things from a numbers prospectivewhile challenging the males. That's not about to change. Photo: Sprinter Turf Male Turf Female. Wudda U Think Now had the weekend's highest Beyer Speed Figure and Brisnet Speed Ratings after winning the black-type Hollie Hughes at Aqueduct on Saturday for his first stakes win in 14 career starts. The British Rail Class 35 is a class of mixed-traffic B-B diesel locomotive with hydraulic transmission.Because of their Mekydro-design hydraulic transmission units, the locomotives became known as the Hymeks.They were numbered D7000-D7100. [14] Alysheba ran a 122 speed figure in his career. Secret Oath's 103 number ranks as good as anyone who did not run in the Wood Memorial. When considering his chances to excel at 1 miles in the classic, Olympiad gets a nice stamina boost from the bottom half of his pedigree. Periods of rain. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses, Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back. In two of that years Kentucky Derby preps, Destin stopped the timer for the 1 1/16 miles of the Tampa Bay Derby in 1:42.82. In short, there is much reason for optimism as it pertains to Olympiad being effective at 1 miles in the Longines Classic Nov. 5 at Keeneland. font-weight: bold; University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! )[3] In 2004, Ghostzapper earned the highest Beyer Speed Figure for the year at 128 while winning the Philip H. Iselin Stakes. They both earned a Brisnet Rating of 111, which tie with Taibafor the best in the Derby. 38 Flatter Died 2022 67 111 17 0 $665,300 3 3 4% 0 0 0% 96 Hero Status. Speed Figures: Un Ojo improved his best Equibase Speed Figure 14 points to a 91 for the Rebel Stakes, and he boosted his career-best Beyer Speed Figure 13 points to an 84. Morello performed the worst last time out, surprisingly after winning his first three races. The top-end speed runs deeper in this field, as well. [23], As Beyer has noted, a speed figure is a numerical expression of a horse's final time, universalized for distance, track surface, and the daily variant on that surface. The number of horses to run at least a 95 BSF is equal in the past two Derbies at nine apiece. 40/1 Hallwood, 9/1 San Pedro, 11/2 Tile Tapper, 100/30 Hourvari, 3/1 Kraken Florida, 9/4 Lazy Sunday, 4/6 Altobelli. Reach for the superlatives: Flightline and jockey Flavien Prat after a truly astonishing performance in the Pacific Classic. . The first Saturday in May approaches, which means the Kentucky Derby is coming. His Brisnet Ratings have improved from 76 to 98, and his TimeformUS numbers has gone from 98 to 116 in only three starts. Taiba (+800) and Messier (+800) lead the group having posted 103s previously in Kentucky Derby Prep races. TimeformUS also valued the Wood Memorial, with Early Voting gaining the top mark. As any horses drop out and new horses are elevated into the field, we can adjust the chart accordingly. padding: 4px; Each week, we will analyze the top maiden winners by Beyer performances. If speed figures are correct, it could be more of the same in 2022. He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. Handicappers may find it useful to relate the par to the typical figures of horses in a field. Slew's Tiz Whiz Named Washington's 2022 Horse Of The Year. This story was posted in Shared News and tagged Beyer Speed Figures, Flightline, Horse Racing, John Sadler, Runhappy Malibu S., Santa Anita, Terry Finley. The system behind the figures was explained in detail and popularized by Andrew Beyers book, Picking Winners, published in 1975. He earned a 102 for his Preakness and a 105 for his Belmont Stakes victory. Flightline had already made headlines before his first career start, selling for $1 million at the 2019 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga sale. I have said that everything is on the table. [22] However, Beyer also acknowledged that by some calculations, Count Fleet's Beyer speed figures might have reached 150. It is done, and has always been done, by human beingsBeyer and Mark Hopkins, and their six associates. The latter calculation compensates for a racetrack running faster or slower than usual. The best horses in the U.S. generally earn Beyer Speed Figures between 105 and 115. The winner of the Kentucky Derby will likely run their best career race, but having a history of 100+ BSF helps predict such a performance. This implies that Secretariat would have had the highest ever Beyer speed figure. I'm going to take it one step at a time. I'm going to be very mindful of his campaign, he said. Mo Donegal ran a non-threateningfifth in the Kentucky Derby after his Wood victory. For example, horse "A" has gotten Beyer Speed Figures of 90, 82, and 89 in his last three races. The figures are straightforward: the greater the number, the quicker the horse. His dam (mother), Tokyo Time, by Medaglia dOro, was a winner at 1 1/8 miles and also Grade 2-placed at that distance. Formal Gold ran successive numbers of 126, 124 and 125 in 1997 in the Whitney Handicap (actually losing by a nose to Will's Way), Iselin Handicap and Woodward Stakes. There's nothing written in stone, but I am mindful of the fact that I need to be careful.. MLB Odds: Will Twins Break Out Of Two-Year Slump? Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). There is so much to look forward to out there.. . The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. With a talented, 20-horse field expected to enter the starting gate, you NEED to see what racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir has to say before making any 2022 Kentucky Derby picks of your own. You can then presume that he is faster than . (Of course, all horses have distances they prefer, and a sprinter who earns a big figure at six furlongs is unlikely to duplicate it in the Kentucky Derby.) Only Epicenter and Taiba hit triple digits in their most recent race. Comparatively, Rock Your World ran a 100-BSF, which paced the 2021 group. This should be taken with a gain of salt, however, because Epicenter has shown the most consistency. Below is a closer look at the career best Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Speed Figures for the North American contenders in the prospective 2022 Kentucky Derby field. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Last year, he was on fire. color: #FFF; The site is not associated with nor is it endorsed by any professional or collegiate league, association or team. She turned in one of the best Beyer Speed Figures of any 2-year-old in 2021, and her 92 Beyer in the Honeybee Stakes last month was considerably better than Un Ojo's 84 in winning the Rebel . Olympiad is a fast, consistent 4-year-old with a high-cruising speed that allows him to gain tactical position in his races, plus hes in the hands of one of the best trainers in the history of the sport. [15][16], Beyer speculated that had his figures existed in 1973, Secretariat would have scored 139 in his classic 1973 win at the Belmont Stakes. Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best San Felipe Stakes Winners, Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best Fountain of Youth Stakes Winners, Triple Crown Turning Point: The Right Rider for Gallant Fox, SLIDESHOW: U.S. Danzing Candy won the San Felipe at the same distance in 1:43.04. Typically, Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90. . Taiba earned a 111 Brisnet rating in winning the Santa Anita Derby, the same number earned by both Mo Donegal and Early Voting, who were separated by just a neck when 1-2 in the Wood. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe, These 19 horses have Saturday's highest speed figures. But it was a 5-year-old who had the fastest race of the weekend, at least according to two sources. 7 Winners on Monday! Overall, the number reflects the time of the race and the inherent speed of the track over which it was run. 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